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		<title>How Not To Buy Stocks  Do These And You</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Apr 2010 10:52:02 +0000</pubDate>
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How Not To Buy Stocks  Do These And You Are Sure To Lose Money
If only I had read an article like this before I dived into the world of stock investing. I must say, three years ago I knew absolutely nothing about how to buy stocks. Of course, through that experience I learned several [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>
How Not To Buy Stocks  Do These And You Are Sure To Lose Money</p>
<p>If only I had read an article like this before I dived into the world of stock investing. I must say, three years ago I knew absolutely nothing about how to buy stocks. Of course, through that experience I learned several ways on how to buy stocks and lose money.</p>
<p>Buy stocks without doing research  I joined a discount brokerage and went shopping for stocks right away. I had no clue what I was supposed to look for so I just picked random names I liked and bought a few shares here and there of each.</p>
<p>I must admit, I thought I was doing quite well. I mean, some of the stocks I picked ended up doing alright, but the majority of them when no where fast. So if you want to make sure you fail at buying stocks, skip the research.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t Consider the Trading Fees  Learning how to buy stocks the wrong way is easy when you don&#8217;t consider trading fees. I must admit, when I joined the discount brokerage I was really excited about their $4 trades. What I forgot to calculate was the math.</p>
<p>I was investing an average of $10 per stock when I bought them. Shelling out $4 for a $10 piece of stock meant I was losing 40% right up front each time. When I decided to sell the stock I had to pay another $15 just to sell! You can see where I am going with this, it can turn into quite a fiasco.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t Diversify  The surefire method for how to buy stocks the wrong way is to buy a single stock and nothing else. Throw all your nest egg into one company. I mean, so many people do it, especially in their companies at work. What is in your company 401K?</p>
<p>Having all your eggs in one basket sets you up for quite a roller coaster, except there is no safety rails on this ride. You could easily lose everything.</p>
<p>Buy High and Sell Low  The market is fickle so if you want to set yourself up for failure, go with the masses. I admit, it is very tempting to see a stock going higher and higher and yet&#8230; higher again.</p>
<p>This makes people want to buy it more, increasing its demand and running the price up even higher. This is great right?</p>
<p>Sure, it can be sometimes, but if the stock is overvalued you are really learning how to buy stock the wrong way with this purchase.</p>
<p>To buy stocks the wrong way, sell the stock as soon as the price dips some. Even if the company is solid. Following the herd is a great way to go down the wrong path.</p>
<p>Hold On To a Losing Stock To Try and Break Even &#8211; I bought a popular stock for $63 a share, not too long later it dropped into the $40 range.</p>
<p>The research showed the company was not doing so well, but I wanted to at least get my purchase price back. I mean, it is sure to bounce back up right?</p>
<p>Fast forward a few weeks and it was in the $30 range. Dang, I should have sold it at $40 when I had the chance. Well, I am going to at least wait until it gets back into the $40 range before I sell it.</p>
<p>Fast forward&#8230; it is below $20 a share now. Keeping a stock when both the price and the company are going downhill is a sure way to learn how to buy stocks the wrong way.</p>
<p>Avoid Learning The Right Ways &#8211; If you really want to learn how to buy stocks the wrong way through the school of hard knocks, make sure not to discover the right ways.</p>
<p>However, if after reading this article you decide you want to learn how to make some money with stocks the right way visit http://www.howtobuystocks.thebestreview.net/</p>

	<h4>Related posts</h4>
	<ul class="st-related-posts">
	<li><a href="http://www.bestinvestmentsguide.com/investments/finding-hot-stocks-in-the-world-of-investment/" title="Finding Hot Stocks In The World Of Investment (February 8, 2010)">Finding Hot Stocks In The World Of Investment</a> (0)</li>
	<li><a href="http://www.bestinvestmentsguide.com/stocksandshares/finding-hot-stocks-in-the-world-of-investment-2/" title="Finding Hot Stocks In The World Of Investment (April 16, 2010)">Finding Hot Stocks In The World Of Investment</a> (0)</li>
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	<li><a href="http://www.bestinvestmentsguide.com/investments/investments/" title="Investments (April 11, 2010)">Investments</a> (0)</li>
</ul>

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		<title>Great Profits Can Be Made From Forex And Stocks And</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Apr 2010 07:30:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[
Great Profits Can Be Made From Forex And Stocks And Shares
Forex is more risky than the stock market but nearly 12,500,000 people in the United States today own common stock.
This fact, so briefly stated, is of first-rank importance. For it summarizes one of the profound and far-reaching shifts in American social and economic life in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>
Great Profits Can Be Made From Forex And Stocks And Shares</p>
<p>Forex is more risky than the stock market but nearly 12,500,000 people in the United States today own common stock.</p>
<p>This fact, so briefly stated, is of first-rank importance. For it summarizes one of the profound and far-reaching shifts in American social and economic life in the twentieth century. Never before in our history have so many of us owned so much of the nation&#8217;s industrial wealth, so much of its productive capacity, so much of its profit potential.</p>
<p>In the minds of most, the stock market was a vast trap for the unwary. Like all public images, this was inexact, but not without a basis in reason. Time and again in the tumultuous capital expansion of the nation that began after the Civil War, small investors had been whipsawed in the market struggles of the tycoons, and panics and depressions had shrivelled their bright dreams of prosperity. Sober citizens were appalled by the insanity of the rampant speculation of the Twenties. Everybody knew someone who had been scorched in the holocaust of the Crash, and those who were not wiped out were nonetheless inclined to blame Wall Street for the depression which followed.</p>
<p>For most people, capital investment meant buying a home. If there was anything left over, it went into insurance and the savings bank.</p>
<p>The myth died slowly. Recovery from the depression consumed most of the Thirties. The Second World War lasted until the middle Forties. Throughout this period, the stock market continued to do business at the old stand, but at a greatly reduced volume. Reflecting the times, it pulled itself back uphill to a respectable peak in 1936, considerably short of the 1929 summit, but still the highest point since the Crash. It dropped sharply in the 1937 recession, staggered up and down uncertainly for several years, and then retreated under the impact of the war. From 1942 on, however, despite occasional setbacks such as the 1957 recession, the trend has been steadily upward.</p>
<p>The nation emerged from the war hardly conscious of how greatly the basic economy had changed. Production for war had forced a gigantic expansion of industrial plant, much of it with the aid of Government funds. High tax rates and controlled profits encouraged further investment in facilities. And liberal post-war settlements enabled corporations to buy Government-built plants cheaply or to depreciate them quickly, thereby reducing or eliminating what might otherwise have been a burden of long-term debt. The net result was a stupendous increase in the book valuein the fundamental assetsof a great number of companies.</p>
<p>Furthermore, consumer wants were ravenous. Having gone without for five years, Americans were ready to buy everything in sight. Industry, untouched by so much as a single enemy bomb, was able to convert swiftly to peacetime production. The boom began. New automobiles, new houses, new electrical appliances began to fill up the empty spaces in American lives. And with these familiar, much-missed items came new ones, virtually undreamed of before the war: television, hi-fi, sports cars, antibiotics, tranquilizers, frozen foods, synthetic fibbers and fabrics, plastics, electronics, andfor the on-rushing futurepeacefully applied atomic energy. Radio Corporation of America announced that four-fifths of its current sales volume derived from products that were non existent a decade before. By the Fifties, economists were estimating that more than a third of the nation&#8217;s gross national productthe total value of all its goods and serviceswas due to research and development of the past ten years.</p>
<p>Many elements have combined to bring this about. Until the end of World War II in 1945, stock ownership was for all practical purposes the privilege of the well to do. Only the man of wealth could afford to buy stock in significant amounts. Only the man with surplus funds could afford to ride out market slumps and the temporary loss of income and value. And only the few initiates were really educated and informed about the behaviour of markets and the ground rules of investment.</p>
<p>Now the Forex is just as accessible to ordinary investors just as stocks and shares are to investors.</p>
<p>It is essential to get some good Forex software from the beginning to succeed with Forex trading.</p>

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		<title>Forex vs. Stocks</title>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Apr 2010 15:05:39 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[
First of all, what is Forex?  It is a short version of FOReign  EXchange.  It is also called FX and 4X, but regardless of  the name you use, it is the largest financial market in the world.  From 1997 to the end of 2000, daily Forex trading has skyrocketed from [...]]]></description>
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<p>First of all, what is Forex?  It is a short version of FOReign  EXchange.  It is also called FX and 4X, but regardless of  the name you use, it is the largest financial market in the world.  From 1997 to the end of 2000, daily Forex trading has skyrocketed from $5 billion to over $1.5 trillion..  </p>
<p>Lets look at some reasons why Forex trading is rapidly gaining popularity over other markets. </p>
<p>Trading hours:  The Forex market is traded 24 hours per day from about 7pm EST on Sunday until about 3pm EST on Friday.  The stock market is only traded Monday thru Friday with limited hours.</p>
<p>Liquidity:   Forex markets trade over $1.5 trillion each day while the stock market only around $200 billion. There are only 7 major currencies traded on the Forex while there are more than 40,000 stocks from which to choose.</p>
<p>Commissions: No commissions are charged on the Forex while the stock markets charge high commissions and transaction fees.</p>
<p>Leverage:  Forex Market offers great leverage power.  Brokers usually offer from 100:1 to 400:1 leverage.  This means a trader using 100:1 leverage you control $100,000 with only $1,000 margin.  Stock market investors pay full price for stock when purchased unless they have a margin account and the leverage with margin is usually  only 2:1.   </p>
<p>Low Minimum Investment:  The minimum initial investment to open a Forex trading account is as low as $300.  Most stock brokers require several thousand dollars as a minimum to open an account.</p>
<p>This is the perfect market. Foreign Exchange trading has long been recognized as a superior investment opportunity by major banks, multinational corporations and other institutions.  Now the internet has propelled Forex trading among private individuals tremendously. Trade from home, the office, or virtually anywhere in the world.  Trade virtually anytime day or night.  Work part time or full time.</p>
<p>It is obvious that the Forex Market offers a substantial opportunity to those willing to invest energy, focus, and a little money.</p>
<p>It is difficult for a new Forex trader to become successful in the Forex market without understanding the basics and how it works.  This knowledge can be obtained in a free Forex training program.</p>

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		<title>Finding Hot Stocks In The World Of Investment</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Apr 2010 08:06:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[
The term hot stocks can be wildly misleading; for those who are just beginning their foray into the world of investment, looking for hot stocks could mean trying to find those stocks that will pay off in dividends in the short term. But what uneducated investors dont realize is that hot stocks mean much more [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>The term hot stocks can be wildly misleading; for those who are just beginning their foray into the world of investment, looking for hot stocks could mean trying to find those stocks that will pay off in dividends in the short term. But what uneducated investors dont realize is that hot stocks mean much more than instant gratification.</p>
<p>Instead hot stocks could be defined as those stocks that may require patience to realize their full potential. Be wary of those stocks that rise in value dramatically. The fall could be just as dramatic. Hot stocks may be considered hot because of their significant earnings but volatility could be an indication of an unstable product.</p>
<p>First and foremost when it comes to hot stocks  do your research. Learn as much as you possibly can about the stock market and its bevy of indicators. Research the particular hot stock in which you are interested and leave no stone unturned. A lack of comprehensive research could spell disaster further down the road.</p>
<p>The informational resources for hot stocks can be found online. The Internet has become a viable environment for trading; research hot stocks to learn their current worth and future predictions.</p>
<p>Take advantage of online forums where traders share their experiences. You may find many a helpful hint on how to go about trading hot stocks. Youll often find a number of online traders willing to offer advice about online trading.</p>
<p>Additionally, in an effort to understand the complexities of hot stocks, take some professional courses to help you navigate this new world. Youll be best served by getting the advice of professionals. Take what you need to learn the most you can about this complicated arena.</p>
<p>Most importantly, dont get in over your head. If you are a novice at trading then keep your activity simple and conservative. Hot stocks in an industry about which you know very little will only serve to frustrate and confuse you in the future. Instead, choose those hot stocks that are available within industries in which you have a comfortable level of familiarity.</p>
<p>Trading hot stocks can be exciting but it can also be unnerving. Take the time to conduct thorough research on any hot stocks and in trading in general. Some effort now will serve you well for years to come as you continue to navigate the stock market.</p>

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		<title>Finding, Buying, And Selling Stocks Online</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Apr 2010 15:33:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[
The history of the American stock market had its beginnings in the late 1700s during the fledgling years of the country. In Philadelphia, founding citizens of this new world instituted a stock exchange wherein currency could be exchanged in order to support business and stimulate this new economy. 
This initial exchange gave way to a [...]]]></description>
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<p>The history of the American stock market had its beginnings in the late 1700s during the fledgling years of the country. In Philadelphia, founding citizens of this new world instituted a stock exchange wherein currency could be exchanged in order to support business and stimulate this new economy. </p>
<p>This initial exchange gave way to a group of merchants who banned together to form the New York Stock Exchange. This initial assembly of men met every day on Wall Street to trade their stocks and bonds  an outdoor ritual that lasted through to the early 1900s, when commerce moved indoors. Today, investment on this scale has come full circle  operating outside the bricks and mortar of traditional trading. Today&#8217;s investors operate en masse through the Internet, buying and selling stocks online with the click of a mouse.</p>
<p>Buying and selling stocks online has become the new way of investing. In this chaotic world of long work hours combined with the juggling of frenzied family schedules, the computer has taken an ever-increasing role  giving us a place to work, communicate, and be entertained any time of day from the comfort of our homes. The computer has also taken an ever-increasing role in investing, offering consumers the opportunity to trade online. Several reputable companies have pioneered the online investment arena where they have kept pace with the changing needs of todays modern investors.</p>
<p>In accessing stocks online, investors have been given access to a bevy of services previously only obtained through visiting brokers in the brick and mortar world of finance. Online investment through reputable brokerage companies requires investors to set up an account through the website. They can then access their financial portfolio at the touch of a mouse. Additionally, these companies will offer up-to-the-minute stock quotes, historical performance and forecasts for each stock, as well as in-depth information about each of the companies.</p>
<p>Investors report that the ability to trade stocks online offers many benefits not provided through traditional brokering. First and foremost, online investment offers lower brokerage fees than required through traditional brokerage houses. Through online trading, investors typically pay $10 and under per trade. Online trading also affords investors a level of independence and control not previously experienced through traditional trading. Investors can pick and choose stocks online that meet their own personal financial goals. </p>
<p>Using the tools provided through the brokerage websites, investors can research those companies and stock in which they are interested. Further, investors can access their portfolio to keep careful track of their financial status as they move towards the goals they have set out for themselves.</p>
<p>Part of what keeps the financial world moving at a pace that continues to stimulate economy and promote business is its ability to adjust to changing conditions in society. Online trading is simply a response to what is happening in the world of finance on a grander scale. The ability to buy and sell stocks online meets investors where they are in todays world and gives them the opportunity to take a greater role in their own financial future.</p>

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		<title>Fade The Gap And Make $$&#8217;s Every Day In Stocks</title>
		<link>http://www.bestinvestmentsguide.com/stocksandshares/fade-the-gap-and-make-s-every-day-in-stocks/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Apr 2010 10:50:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[
Fade The Gap And Make $$&#8217;s Every Day In Stocks
Avery Horton The Rumpled One is a traders trader who makes a great income day trading a very simple day trading method called fading the gap.
If you could trade a method that took you less than 30 minutes to perform in the morning for $0.30 to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>
Fade The Gap And Make $$&#8217;s Every Day In Stocks</p>
<p>Avery Horton The Rumpled One is a traders trader who makes a great income day trading a very simple day trading method called fading the gap.</p>
<p>If you could trade a method that took you less than 30 minutes to perform in the morning for $0.30 to $1 profit with 80% accuracy.would you trade it?</p>
<p>When you can trade 1,000+ shares in a stock that is $300 to $1,000 profit on each successful trade EVERY DAY.</p>
<p>Here are some of the emails I have received from Avery recently:</p>
<p>1) See all the gaps that have filled within 30 minutes</p>
<p>2) Even where the gap hasn&#8217;t filled, there&#8217;s money to be made<br />
What I mean by statistics is how many times during the last 100 days a stock has gone up at list $.10, $.20, &#8230; $1.00 or more from open to high:</p>
<p>Mark, I like to keep things simple&#8230; 1000 shares * $.12 profit / share = $120. After commissions, I net $100.  Basically, this is a $100 bill printing press.</p>
<p>-Avery</p>
<p>See all those filled gaps?!?!?!</p>
<p>You would have made over $1.00 per share on every trade! The QQQQ doesn&#8217;t count, I just use it to gauge the market. But it, too, filled the gap&#8230;LOL!</p>
<p>Compare the middle indicator to before&#8230; see how much trading each cross can net you?</p>
<p>It really is simple, Mark. I think you can &#8220;feel&#8221; it&#8230; can&#8217;t you?</p>
<p>- Avery</p>
<p>Hi Mark:</p>
<p>1) Let&#8217;s say a trader starts with $25,000 and trades 1000 shares. If the trader nets $100 a day pretax on ONE TRADE, with 22 trading days a month that&#8217;s $2,200 in about 30 minutes or less per day.</p>
<p>Ok..thats enough for now. I have picked The Rumpled Ones mind clean over the past week nailing down his fade the gap method. I am actually amazed he gave away so much information so freely.</p>
<p>So get you FREE Fade The Gap Day Trading Method Now by entering your name and email address. You will need to read your email address in order to go to the download page and access the method.</p>
<p>Get it now and start milking those daily profits tomorrow.</p>

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		<title>Downbeat Stocks</title>
		<link>http://www.bestinvestmentsguide.com/stocksandshares/downbeat-stocks/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Mar 2010 00:08:13 +0000</pubDate>
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Trading on the stock market profitably can be done using numerous methods and techniques. A lot of investors tend to think trading a high volume of stocks while the markets are in an upward or downward swing is the only way to make good money from investing. However, looking for stocks which are moving fast [...]]]></description>
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<p>Trading on the stock market profitably can be done using numerous methods and techniques. A lot of investors tend to think trading a high volume of stocks while the markets are in an upward or downward swing is the only way to make good money from investing. However, looking for stocks which are moving fast isnt the only way to trade profitably. As a matter of fact, this method can lose you a lot of money very quickly. This method does work. The timing and the stock picks must be done almost flawlessly in order to produce good gains. It is true a lot of money can be made quite fast using this method. However, as previously mentioned above, this method can also be a recipe for disaster. You can lose all of your money just as quick. This type of investing isnt for the faint of heart. All is not lost. There are other methods of investing which will allow you to make a more steady income without having to trade large volumes. If you want to set up your investing so that you get a more passive income from it, there are some things you should do. Its critical that everything is set up carefully and correctly. These types of investments must still be watched by you. If you dont monitor these investments, the returns may be lower than what you had hoped for and expected. Even worse; these investments instead of bringing in a passive income are losing you money. Dont think that you can just walk away from investments which you deem as passive income investments. Its important you check in on them on a regular basis.</p>
<p>In order for you to use the stock market to make some passive income, it is very important you begin with under priced stocks. It isnt very helpful to you, in this endeavor, to purchase stocks which are from solid companies, but are priced too high to make a passive income with. Whats critical is you make the time to do some research so you can purchase good stocks at good prices to make good passive income with. The stocks you want to buy are ones from solid performing corporations, but the stock price has to be lower than what market value of the stock should be. When you find such stocks, there is one more critical component. You need to do some digging as to why the stock price is lower than what it should be. Just because it is priced lower than what it should be, doesnt mean you should jump in and buy it. Heed our advice very carefully. Do more digging to find out why the stock is priced lower than it should be. If you dont take this warning seriously, you can lose a lot of money on what you thought was a good deal. If you put in a solid effort on research, including why the stock is under valued, you will be able to locate some really great downbeat stocks to invest in. You will get a good return for these stocks without having to do a lot of trading and profit taking.</p>
<p>When you are doing your research you should first use the industries tab. This will allow you to sort through them to find out which are going to do well for you. If you sort them by using the &#8220;RT&#8221; then you should be able to get a better view of what is going to work well. You need to find the ones that have the lowest &#8220;RT&#8221; rating as these are likely to be the most downbeat stocks that will give you the best opportunity for a good profit.</p>
<p>There are two separate criteria that you need to look for to make sure that they have potential. But you need to make sure that they have both of these elements and not just one or the other to know that it is a good stock. You need to make sure that the industry has a cumulative PE of 8 or less. You also need to make sure that the industry has a price to sales ratio of less than 1. When you find a stock with these two characteristics then you need to also make sure the industry also has the lowest &#8220;RT&#8221; on that day. Do not ignore these conditions as they are very important to making sure that the stock you are buying is going to make you a good profit. You will not find these conditions very often so when you do, you will need to buy a considerable amount of stock to make it worth your while, very often from 100,000 to 500,000 is a good idea. As you will find stocks like this only 10 or 25 times a year it is important to buy them when you do. Then you will find that there are good longer profits over a year or more. This may give you a win percentage of over 94% and massive returns.</p>
<p>Very simply put, when you find them make sure that you buy the stock that has the highest relative value with lowest PE. This will give you the right information on which to base your buying. You also need to do some research on the stock to make sure that it is a good buy. www.form4oracle.com is a very good place to look at the recent activity on the stock and this will help you to get a better view of what is going on with the trading. It is only after you have done all of the research and made sure that all of the conditions are right that you should buy. If you do this then you will make sure that you have the best chance of making a good profit. This may give you 1 to 3 years returns in the triple digits consistently and this can give you a very nice income indeed.</p>

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		<title>Does a Faulty Barometer Herald a Storm for Stocks?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Mar 2010 18:27:47 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[
Should you fire your financial advisor and hire a month in order to optimize your asset allocation?  
Probably so, if you believe proponents of a time-honored indicator of future stock market performance known as The January Barometer.  The Barometer simply states that As goes January, so goes the year, and its racked up [...]]]></description>
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<p>Should you fire your financial advisor and hire a month in order to optimize your asset allocation?  </p>
<p>Probably so, if you believe proponents of a time-honored indicator of future stock market performance known as The January Barometer.  The Barometer simply states that As goes January, so goes the year, and its racked up a seemingly remarkable forecasting record since well before Yale Hirsch of Stock Traders Almanac first popularized it as early as 1972.  </p>
<p>Since 1938, the direction of change of the benchmark S&#038;P in the first month out of the gate has matched the year as a whole more than a whopping 80% of the time, making January by far the most predictive month on the calendar.  The results are similarly impressive if you use the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) as a yardstick and, although it somewhat diminishes the accuracy of the forecasting tool, if you assess efficacy over the next 11 or 12 months to avoid double-counting Januarys moves in the periods its supposed to foreshadow.  Dating back to the inception of the NASDAQ Composite Index in 1971, January achieves the greatest success of any month in anticipating the movement of OTC stocks throughout the following 11 or 12 months, and ranks second only to April in its correlation with calendar-year outcomes.  Starting from 1950, an up January has meant about a 13% gain in stock prices through the remainder of the year, while opening with a down month presaged about a 1% loss.  </p>
<p>Criticisms of The January Barometer</p>
<p>The historical evidence looked even more compelling at the start of this decade, but The January Barometer laid an egg in 3 of the past 5 years.  In 2001, a positive January called a premature end to a bear market that got ugly after Al Qaeda suicide hijackers attacked the World Trade Center and Pentagon.  In 2003, stocks declined in January, continuing a deep correction in the wake of a sharp initial rally off the final bear market low of the previous October, but turned higher in springtime to climb 26.4% by year-end, still the biggest annual gain since the 1990s.  Last year, the market fell again in January, only to see the S&#038;P 500 eke out a 3% gain for all of 2005, although the Dow edged down a fraction of a percent.  However, the lackluster display by the blue chips actually understated the effect of the Barometers error in a year in which smaller stocks outperformed for a 6th straight time and the average equities mutual fund returned a total 9.5%.</p>
<p>Supporters of The January Barometer sometimes point to the 20th Amendment, a piece of Depression-era legislation also known as the Lame Duck Amendment, to explain why it works.  The 20th Amendment mandates that presidential terms, as well as those of senators and representatives, shall conclude in January, and calls for congress to convene on January 3.  Formerly, they didnt throw the rascals out until March.  Despite ratification in early 1933, the amendment didnt take effect until 1934.  Hence the nation was forced to endure 4 months of lame-duck leadership from a by then wildly unpopular Herbert Hoover after the 1932 election, as the Great Depression deepened and Wall Street surrendered the vast bulk of its spectacular gains achieved during the summer of 32, following the stock market bottom.  </p>
<p>Now, the president delivers his State of the Union Address, highlighting priorities for the year ahead, and unveils his proposed budget in January, making the month particularly influential, or so the theory goes.  Of course, they dont hold national elections every year, and almost all of the leaders are incumbents or politicians with already well-known agendas.  If the timing of the presidential inauguration is so important, why didnt a March Barometer foretell stocks future before 1934?  From 1897 through 1933, the direction taken by the DJIA in January corresponded to the full years results 23 times out of 37, versus just 20 of 37 for March.  The record throughout that interval stays the same even if you substitute the S&#038;P for the Dow beginning in 1928, the first year they tabulated daily prices for the S&#038;P.</p>
<p>Staunch defenders of the January Barometer like to commence their record keeping in 1938, citing the especially lopsided congressional margins enjoyed by Democrats earlier under the FDR Administration.  This smacks of classic backfitting, however.  Could the real reason behind the 4-year delay in implementation of their pet prognostic technique instead be the disastrous performance shown by The January Barometer in the 1934-1937 timeframe?  In 1934, the S&#038;P jumped a robust 10% in January, only to slide 19% during the next 12 months.  If you sold on Januarys 4% dip to kick off 1935, you missed a roaring 57% advance.  And if a 4% rise in January 1937 enticed you to bite, the stock markets October 1937 crash left you licking your wounds amid a 41% plunge.  Another benefit to choosing 1938 as a starting point, while ignoring the entire 1897-1937 period, rests in the fact that most market years are up years, and the more recent era captures the secular bull markets of 1949-1968 and 1982-2000, leaving out the worst years of the Depression and the relatively dull markets of the first 20 years of the 20th century.  In 1897-1937, stocks went up only 23 out of 41 times (56%), compared to 47 of 67 (one year was unchanged), or 70%, subsequently.  January historically ranks as the second-strongest calendar month for stocks, trailing only December.</p>
<p>January Barometers Notable Failures</p>
<p>Still, in over a century since the advent of reliable daily stock averages, the January Barometer boasts a 72% (78 of 108) success rate, including a level of accuracy approaching 80% during those years in which the market closed higher in January, as was the case this year.  Yet the S&#038;P 500, through Friday, February 10, 2006, remains over 1% lower this month after hitting new bull market highs a few short weeks ago.  Accordingly, this seems like a good time to examine some of the January Barometers most notable failures following those occasions when it appeared to call for further stock price appreciation.</p>
<p>1902: The DJIA established a final bull market peak in June 1901 and continued to edge down slightly in 1902.</p>
<p>1903: Railroad stocks had risen for over 6 years, more than tripling without a serious setback, when they topped in September 1902.  Their yearlong bear market was just getting started when 1903 rolled around, and their eventual collapse would drag down the industrials.</p>
<p>1906:  Final bull market high in late January, and the DJIA was nearly cut in half before the end of 1907.</p>
<p>1914: A 5-year bear market, which began with an unsuccessful assault on all-time highs in 1909, climaxes in July 1914 when authorities shut down the New York Stock Exchange at the outset of World War I. </p>
<p>1917: After stocks more than double to a November 1916 final top in the first couple of years of the War, in which America gets rich supplying the Allies in Europe, the market drops 40% by December 1917, as direct U.S. involvement in the conflict looms.</p>
<p>1929-31: Stocks crash after an explosive rally in the summer of 1929 caps an 8-year bull run, ushering in the Great Depression.  Optimistic investors prematurely bid stocks higher to begin each of the next 2 years, only to regret it.</p>
<p>1934: After more than doubling in less than a year, the new bull market stalls following fresh highs in February 1934.</p>
<p>1937: A March top culminates an advance of nearly 5 years and 372% in the DJIA before the short but severe 1937-38 Roosevelt Recession, which saw industrial production fall faster than during 1929-32 and cut the Dow in half. </p>
<p>1946: A last thrust higher following a 10% February correction merely postpones the inevitable.  The 129% DJIA gain in a span of more than 4 years culminating in a May 29, 1946 peak grossly understates the extent of the advance leading up to the high.  The S&#038;P does significantly better than that, and other averages leave the blue chips in the dust.  Railroad stocks nearly triple, and the Dow Jones Utility Average quadruples.</p>
<p>1966: Another bull market launches in the second year of the decade, only to die in the 6th, as the Dow touches 1000 for the first time en route to a February 9, 1966 closing high.</p>
<p>1994: On February 2, the anniversary date that preceded the 1946 correction, and also in the 4th year of a bull market, stocks begin a 10% correction, as in 1946.  This time, however, rather than quickly racing to a final top after the correction is over, the stock market trades in a narrow range throughout the rest of the year before busting out higher in 1995.</p>
<p>2001: The 1990s bull market amazingly lasts over 9 years, taking the NASDAQ Composite from a mere 325 to above 5000 in March 1990.  After a run like that, the ensuing bear market wasnt nearly complete despite a reflex rally in early 2005.</p>
<p>What Can be Learned?</p>
<p>Are there any lessons we can take from the 14 notable failures of the January Barometer described above?</p>
<p>Six of the examples (1902, 1903, 1917, 1930, 1931, 2001) involve false January rallies that developed in the early stages of bear markets.  Clearly, we dont fit into this category.  The bear market following the late 1990s tech-stock mania bottomed on October 9, 2002.  Our market attained its subsequent high-to-date just last month.</p>
<p>Could we have already seen the final top, or might the entire advance since 2002 represent nothing more than an elongated bear market rally?  The latter possibility would be essentially unheard of, given the amount of time elapsed since the low.  Nevertheless, bull markets have been known to expire in a shorter time than the 3 years and 3 months required to trudge to the January 11, 2006 closing highs in the DJIA and S&#038;P.</p>
<p>Almost half of all previous misleadingly bullish Januarys came late in long or powerful bull markets, during the years (1906, 1929, 1934, 1937, 1946, 1966) of their final tops.  The latter 3 such cases, like our present situation, all unfolded following second-year lows, but served up lengthier and more energetic advances than the 2002-06 bull market so far.  The 2-month, 12% bounce in the S&#038;P from its low last October 13 would represent an uncharacteristically brief and anemic concluding bull leg, especially anticlimactic on the heels of a flat year.  Unlike 1946, 1965-66 and 1994, we havent seen a 10% market decline in some time.  The largest correction the market could muster in 2005 was on the order of 7%.  The less-than-stellar 52% maximum improvement in the closing price of the Dow since its October 9, 2002 trough is also tepid by bull market standards. As in 1942-46, the S&#038;P is ahead of the DJIA, and broader indexes have crushed both blue-chip measures, but the S&#038;Ps reluctance thus far to challenge its all-time high, unlike the Dow after it was similarly cut in half 100 years ago, further attests to the underachieving nature of the existing bull.</p>
<p>Still, this bull market is undeniably long in the tooth, and enough time remains in 2006 to set up a final top and then possibly stage a decline big enough to make a liar of The January Barometer for a 4th time in 6 years.</p>

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		<title>Deciding Whether To Invest In Oil Stocks</title>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Mar 2010 15:31:59 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[
The decision to invest is confusing in general but when you are deciding on very particular stocks, it takes a significant amount of research in order to feel confident in your choice.
One popular choice of investment is that of oil stocks; the reasons for its attractiveness are incredibly diverse. And deciding whether you want to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>The decision to invest is confusing in general but when you are deciding on very particular stocks, it takes a significant amount of research in order to feel confident in your choice.</p>
<p>One popular choice of investment is that of oil stocks; the reasons for its attractiveness are incredibly diverse. And deciding whether you want to involve yourself in this particular industry is a very personal choice.</p>
<p>Oil stocks are generally thought of as a safe and consistent investment. The need for oil will never dissipate; the theory is that oil stocks will continue to hold their value because of the demand for the product.</p>
<p>Not every oil stock is the same. And so each stock must be researched thoroughly to avoid any surprises. You must first determine whether a particular oil stock is overvalued. Some oil stocks may look to yield a dramatic return on investment but the earning ratio must be considered; such a large profit margin  while appealing  may indicate volatility.</p>
<p>Another thing to consider when deciding whether to invest in oil stocks is to choose between what is referred to as a Trust Unit and a Common Share. Trust units are a conservative form of oil stocks that does not attach tax to the stock. The growth that the oil stocks can achieve &#8211; in the form of a trust unit &#8211; is limited but the risk is also minimal.</p>
<p>The riskier oil stocks are what are known as common shares, whereby earnings by the company are reinvested into the stock. This type of oil stock carries a greater risk but the possibility for greater reward.</p>
<p>Finally, you need to make the decision between natural gas or oil stocks. Natural gas  not as consistently in demand as oil  tends to be more unpredictable. These are things to keep mind when making your decision.</p>
<p>Whatever you choose be sure to conduct thorough research before making any purchases. There are plenty of online resources available for those looking to begin trading on the stock market.</p>
<p>You may also want to consult a stock market professional who can expertly guide you through the process of buying and selling oil stocks. Its okay to ask questions. Stop at nothing to learn all you can about oil stocks and the stock market in general.</p>
<p>Deciding whether or not to venture into the stock market can be an enormous decision. Oil stocks can be a relatively predictable way to begin your journey.</p>

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		<title>Day Trading Penny Stocks &#8211; Is It Really Worth The</title>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 11:02:36 +0000</pubDate>
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Day Trading Penny Stocks &#8211; Is It Really Worth The Risk?
Is day trading penny stocks really a wise move for your investment activity? Many people are wary of this activity, and with good reason. While you certainly do hear the glamour stories of the many investors whove made fortunes with penny stocks, you often times [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>
Day Trading Penny Stocks &#8211; Is It Really Worth The Risk?</p>
<p>Is day trading penny stocks really a wise move for your investment activity? Many people are wary of this activity, and with good reason. While you certainly do hear the glamour stories of the many investors whove made fortunes with penny stocks, you often times dont hear about the thousands whove lost a ton of money in the process.</p>
<p>Penny stocks are notorious for enabling you to make either huge gains or losses overnight. Many people hear stories about somebody who made a million dollars in a couple days day trading penny stocks, and become so enamored with that they dont realize these same investors (gamblers, really) most often lose all that money soon after.</p>
<p>Believe it or not, penny stocks are nothing more, nothing less than glorified gambling. Yes, there are some investors who can make a lot of money with this avenue, but only if they are absolutely sure of what they are doing. The reason for their volatility is simple: every one of these companies that are trading for les than $1 per share got into the situation for a reason.</p>
<p>Usually, it was either bad management, poor economics, or a combination. Therefore, youd better have a good reason for thinking a turnaround is about to occur before laying your money down.</p>
<p>The main reason day trading penny stocks is so risky is that it doesnt take much to affect your investment. For instance, if you buy in at .25 cents, and the stock goes up to .50 cents, youve just doubled your investment just by a .25 cent gain! Of course, the same risks apply for it going down.</p>
<p>While a .25 cent swing for most stocks would be hardly noticeable, for penny stocks they can be either mega profitable or suicidal. Therefore, if you do plan on entering the exciting, non-stop action world of penny stocks, you need to be absolutely sure you are an expert at looking at a company and spotting a turnaround possibility.</p>
<p>Think about this: most of the worlds top investors have gotten to the point they are at by investing in good stocks that have exhibited a long term of profitability. When you invest in penny stocks, you voluntarily take yourself out of that realm and focus only on companies that have proven they cant turn a profit. Yes, sometimes miracles or turnarounds do occur, but not very often.</p>
<p>If you do plan on entering this world of day trading penny stocks, you need to become an expert at spotting companies you are sure will turn things around, and jump in at the right time. No, making money with penny stocks is certainly not impossible, but you must know what youre doing, and monitor your investments closely at all times.</p>

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